Pages

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Trading Recap 5/20/15

What a day. So much opportunity that I didn't take advantage of. While I was flat for the day, I have heard of many people who blew up or took huge losses, so I guess I have that to be thankful for.

White arrows are entries followed by exits.

PBMD: I actually shorted this at 2.7 but covered for breakeven, so I guess kudos to me for not not giving up anything. I actually wanted to go long my covers but decided against it, unfortunately. My reason for the short was that it seemed to be peaking at the 2.7 level of support and I thought the backside was starting in. It flushed a bit lower and I thought I was good but then I saw it reclaimed support and just covered for breakeven. It went down a bit after covering and I thought I had just topticked the bounce but then higher low and bam, which is where I wanted to go long. Overall, while I didn't go long I am glad I stayed out of trouble on the short side, even when it was in the 5s and 6s.


MOMO: I actually wanted to get in this around 15.60 because it had reclaimed support, just like yesterday and it ripped yesterday too. I thought on the next dip I would buy even though yesterday it didn't dip and just continued to go up. Anyway, I didn't get in for the initial spike but the chart formed an ABCD so I bought the breakout but it didn't do much so I put a breakeven stop which got triggered. It ended up fading later in the day.


Things to work on:

1. Continue staying safe on these runners. Get rid of any short bias so you can go long.
2. Your trading has been improving, do not be afraid to go for the setups you think are good.

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Trading Recap 5/19/15

It seems that I am attracted to these low volume stocks. While they are slow, it is good for my small account on margin. The only thing is having to wait forever for any sort of move, which I really hate. Anyway, I made a tiny gain today that was a bit bigger but my patience got the best of me.

White arrows are entries followed by exits.

NHTC: The daily chart is quite overextended and it wasn't on anyone's radar as I think most shorts gave up. I was looking for a late day fade specifically, which is what happened. I saw that based on the 5 day trend, it was acting weaker or at least different than the last few days. So I went in short on the lower high/consolidation below HOD. It was a slow mover but it flushed to 34.20s and I wanted 34 at least since the daily was so overextended. The thing is thought that the flush was on huge volume and usually that is the low for a stock for the day. I didn't want to take partial since I only had 100 shares and 50 shares isn't worth anything. So I waited around but it made higher lows which made me cautious and after getting tired of waiting for the stock to do anything I just put a stop above the resistance where I would want to cover if it reclaimed the support. It spiked and I covered for a smaller gain, which made the whole waiting useless and counter intuitive. Still though, considering the extended daily, this could have went lower and being patient would have panned out. Not a big deal though.


Things to work on:

1. Stop trying to play these low volume stocks.. maybe
2. Cover on big flushes with big volume if there is no immediate continuation downward.

Friday, May 15, 2015

Trading Recap 5/15/15

Today should have been an easy going day and a continuation to yesterday's lifeline for my account. Unfortunately, I somehow managed to lose a little on shorting VBLT... If you're asking yourself how that is possible, well stay tuned.

White arrows are entries followed by subsequent exit.

VBLT: I saw the chart history of what it did the last time this year when they released poor data and the stock went up and what happened the day after. What I saw was that there was a pop before it came down so that is what I was hoping for. At first I was disappointed because there was no pop but then the SSR got on and the stock ripped, which was great. I wanted it to get to the r/g line and get rejected, ideally. It almost got there but fell short by 10 cents. I was cautious shorting it with the SSR now on. A lower high formed, which really was my clue to get short here but I was scared with the SSR on. A subsequent flush happened and I wanted to get short for the retest on resistance which happened but I never got short though. So after it flushes for a bit, it rebounded a little to test the 5.80s and that is where I got short... after all the flushing happened already. Anyway, I got short at around 5.83 and right after I got filled it spiked on me and while I knew the real risk should be to 6 over/under I was using full BP and didn't want to get taken for a ride so I took it off at 5.9. That turned out to be a stuff and the 5.80s became resistance again so I got short again at 5.8 looking for nLODs. Just like yesterday with ACRX, there was little volume and it was a borefest. It went down to 5.64 and I could have erased my losses but I thought it could go to new lows so I stuck with it. Long story short, it came all the way back and triggered my breakeven stop.

I don't think the trades I took are a result of not wanting to miss out or because I missed out prior to. While I did miss out, I saw that it was retesting and I could scalp some with good r/r.


Things to work on:

1. I wanted to use big size which may have scared me into not shorting it where I wanted to at that lower high in the morning. Had I used normal size and added in on the retest like I wanted to, I still would have had a nice gain and it would have taken a few minutes vs. waiting for nothing on the trades I actually took. That is something I will have to work on with this small account: taking the small trade and then adding in full size for the big trade if I think the stock has enough momo to go up/down enough.

Thursday, May 14, 2015

Trading Recap 5/14/15

Today I got a new lifeline on my account and made a decent gain while also killing my losing streak. I just traded one stock and while there was a lot of other stuff going on today, I thought this was the best setup at the time. I might have missed other stuff that might have netted me more money but whatever. I am just happy to get an extension from blowing up.

White arrows are entries followed by exits.

ACRX: I saw that it was gapping up in pre-market with some BS news and I had actually said screw it since it wasn't on many people's radar until I saw it mentioned again in chat and thought it might be a good play. It setup perfectly out of the gate and when it cracked for nLODs I shorted 1k shares (all my BP) at the retest of support around 3.43 and was never down on the position, I think. I thought this would fade nicely, possibly to 3, but the lowest it went was 3.23. I ended up covering at 3.3 since I tried to be patient but saw it making higher lows and I needed a win so I took my profits, which was the right thing to do, especially since it just screwed around the rest of the day. It was a slow mover since it was not on anybody's radar but it made it a great trade for me since it moved slower so I could use full size 1k shares without too much worry.



Things to work on:

1. Nothing really of note here. I played it pretty well. Just keep the green streak going.

Wednesday, May 13, 2015

Trading Recap 5/13/15

The account is getting close to that $500 mark but it is still possible to make a turnaround. I just keep making it harder on myself.. Today was sort of the same theme as yesterday except I cut my positions for flat when they were acting like I thought they would. I tried to get in CMCM again for the r/g but didn't get filled and of course it went a decent amount. There were some other plays that I saw but didn't get into but would have worked nicely had I tried them. Surprisingly, I am finding more long r/g plays for the morning than I thought I would. I naturally thought I was better at shorting probably because when I was in school and come back around 11AM I would find more short opportunities than r/g longs. But now that I am trading at the open, the r/g play has been more of what I have traded (or tried to trade). This might be due to the fact that now in the summer the first 90 minutes are where the money is made and shorting some of these names can get you in trouble.

White arrows are entries followed by exits.

POST: I saw the big decline today and kept an eye on it for most of the day. I started seeing some increasing volume, especially on the 5min charts, that might have signaled a bottom. After seeing that, I wanted to see higher lows, which did happen, and so I got long at 45.5 with risk to 45.3 over/under. It looked good for a bit but it never got going and I decided to cut it off for flat since I didn't see the point of it hitting my stop since I thought it shouldn't be testing 45.3 support again if it wants to go higher. This was a good choice as it continued lower for the rest of the day.


Things to work on:

1. Continue doing a good job of adhering to the "right or right out" mentality.

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Trading Recal 5/12/15

Well, summer has started and not in a good way, unfortunately. I tried getting filled on a few plays I liked (CMCM, NES, OCN). One of them would have worked great, one would have got me flat, and another would gun my stop and have me sell for a decent loss. Guess which one I got filled on? But that doesn't matter though, just funny how that works. I am close to losing margin on my suretrader account. If I do, I will try borrowing money.

White arrows are entries and exit.

OCN: I saw OCN gapping up and I know this has a history of making decently sized moves. I also saw that it has a tendency to dip a little then go up, which is what happened here. There was also an ABCD pattern forming. I entered around 11.13 and my risk was to 11 over/under. I should have sold when there wasn't any follow through for close to flat but I wanted to stick with the plan and with my risk. Unfortunately, 11 cracked pretty quickly and I waited a little to see if that was just a flush and we would reclaim support since there was heavy volume. Unfortunately, it didn't and I sold out around 10.83.


Things to work on:

1. I am not sure if I did anything wrong persay. I would have still tried this trade out if I could if I didn't get filled on the other others. Maybe I could have sold earlier but that is more hindsight.

Friday, May 1, 2015

Trading Recap 5/1/15

It's been almost two weeks since I last traded. Still on a losing streak unfortunately, although if I had waited instead of stopping out on both of the trades I took, they would have worked. My account is below $700 now so it's getting almost to the point of no return since my margin goes away at $500, but I'm going to keep trying to just trade well and not think about the loss.

White arrows are entries followed by exits.

JUNO: I thought this was due for a bounce and after the morning spike it settled down. I thought that it could be forming an ABCD, and I wanted to get in so that I would have a reasonable stop (same mistake made again), so I bought what looked like C forming before an actual higher high was made like I said I should. Long story short I got stopped out two minutes later and it continued lower but then reversed and closed at the highs so my overall thesis was right, just my timing was wrong and my stop was way too small, of course.


TASR: I had a feeling this was mostly a short squeeze but I wanted to wait when support peaked because there was a lot of headlines going around. I also looked at how the stock traded in the recent past and I saw that whenever it had a run in the morning it would settle down and fade a bit until close. So with that in mind and with the fact that support finally was broken I started in with risk over/under the support of around 32.7. It looked good for a bit but eventually it reclaimed and I took it off for a small loss. It squeezed a bit higher before coming all the way back down below my initial short, so again my overall thesis was right. Just wrong timing.


Things to work on:
1. As hard as it is to not put on a trade when you are confident, don't if the actual stop isn't tight enough for my small account. The times where it would work are probably going to be overshadowed by the times it doesn't.
2. Wait for the ABCD to form with a higher higher before buying. When I make it to a bigger account I'll get "fancy" and dip buy in anticipation.